Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000098 0.000108 0.000118 0.000131 0.000144 0.000158 0.000175
2026-02-01 0.000078 0.000093 0.000109 0.000130 0.000154 0.000183 0.000220
2026-02-08 0.000066 0.000082 0.000102 0.000128 0.000161 0.000202 0.000258
2026-02-15 0.000056 0.000073 0.000095 0.000124 0.000164 0.000217 0.000291
2026-02-22 0.000051 0.000069 0.000092 0.000126 0.000173 0.000237 0.000334
2026-03-01 0.000047 0.000065 0.000091 0.000128 0.000183 0.000260 0.000382
2026-03-08 0.000042 0.000060 0.000086 0.000125 0.000184 0.000271 0.000413
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000055 0.000081 0.000121 0.000183 0.000278 0.000438
2026-03-22 0.000035 0.000053 0.000079 0.000122 0.000190 0.000298 0.000485
2026-03-29 0.000033 0.000051 0.000078 0.000123 0.000198 0.000319 0.000536
2026-04-05 0.000031 0.000048 0.000075 0.000121 0.000199 0.000330 0.000572
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000121 0.000204 0.000346 0.000618
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000043 0.000071 0.000119 0.000205 0.000358 0.000659
2026-04-26 0.000025 0.000042 0.000069 0.000119 0.000211 0.000377 0.000716
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000039 0.000066 0.000117 0.000212 0.000390 0.000761
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000037 0.000064 0.000114 0.000212 0.000399 0.000801
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000115 0.000219 0.000422 0.000873
2026-05-24 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000117 0.000228 0.000451 0.000961
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000115 0.000227 0.000459 0.001004
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000031 0.000057 0.000111 0.000224 0.000461 0.001034
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000112 0.000230 0.000486 0.001120
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000113 0.000238 0.000514 0.001215
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000028 0.000054 0.000111 0.000238 0.000525 0.001272